How Declining Mortgage Rates Could Impact the Raleigh Real Estate Market: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know"

How Declining Mortgage Rates Could Impact Raleigh Real Estate Buyers and Sellers

Published | Posted by Chuck Belden

Mortgage rates are expected to decline, potentially creating significant opportunities and challenges in the Raleigh real estate market. According to a recent analysis by Realtor.com®, a drop in mortgage rates to around 6.3% could make homeownership more affordable for many, unlocking opportunities for both buyers and sellers. But, of course, there's always a catch—this could also lead to increased buyer competition, which might just nudge home prices upward. So if you're waiting for rates to come down, you might want to listen up.

The Potential Impact of Lower Mortgage Rates on Affordability:

A reduction in mortgage rates can make a world of difference in home affordability. When rates drop, your monthly mortgage payments become a little less daunting, suddenly making that dream home a lot more realistic. In Raleigh, where home prices seem to have their own ambition, this could open the door for more buyers who’ve been patiently waiting on the sidelines.The Realtor.com® report suggests that if mortgage rates dip from their July average of 6.8% to 6.3% which is happening right now, Raleigh could see a noticeable increase in the number of homes that fall within reach for the median earner. So, if you’ve been eyeing a home but feeling it’s just out of reach, now might be the time to dust off those moving boxes.

How a Drop in Rates Could Increase Buyer Competition:

Now, here’s where things get interesting—and by interesting, I mean competitive, and by competitive I mean it could be the Wild Wild West again. Lower mortgage rates might make homes more affordable, but they also tend to attract more buyers. Suddenly, that charming bungalow you had your eye on is also the apple of someone else’s eye (or twenty five other people’s eyes). We’ve seen this play out before. Remember the COVID-19 era, when mortgage rates dropped to record lows, and the Triangle real estate market turned into a high-stakes game of musical chairs? With rates hovering around 3%, homes that might have otherwise lingered on the market were practically evaporating—often with multiple offers, and sometimes with buyers bidding sight unseen. Multiple clients of mine had to do this to get "the one." It was a thrilling, albeit stressful, time for buyers, while sellers enjoyed the spoils of a hot market.That kind of buyer competition drove prices up, leaving many to wonder if they were shopping for a house or competing on a reality TV show. While today’s market might not reach that level of frenzy, the anticipated drop in rates could still create a competitive atmosphere where quick decisions and strong offers are the name of the game.

The Balancing Act for Buyers:

For buyers, the strategy is simple: act quickly but with a cool head. Lower mortgage rates can give you more purchasing power, but with increased competition, you’ll need to be ready to make solid, informed offers. Having an experienced real estate agent on your side (AHEM) can make all the difference in navigating this tricky terrain.That said, it’s important to stay grounded. In a competitive market, it’s easy to get caught up in the excitement and stretch your budget further than planned. But remember, just because you can, doesn’t always mean you should. Stick to a budget that feels right for you, even if the lower rates make it tempting to reach a little higher. A solid mortgage lender and financial planner can help with this and I've got both. So if you want to talk with one of the pros...just let me know and I'll connect you.

What This Means for Sellers:

If you’re selling in Raleigh, the anticipated drop in mortgage rates could present a golden opportunity. Increased buyer competition means your home might attract more interest, leading to multiple offers and potentially a higher sale price. It’s like having your cake and eating it too—only in this case, the cake is your home equity. Yum. Reflecting on the COVID-19 market boom, sellers who listed during that period often found themselves in a rather sweet spot, with homes selling far above their previous market values. The expected drop in rates could spark a similar, though likely more tempered, trend, offering sellers another chance to capitalize on a lively market. But keep in mind, if you're selling but also buying, you'll likely run into what the other buyers are running into like I mentioned above. It's near impossible to time the market where you sell high and buy low but if you do, come work for me because I could use you on my team. 

Conclusion:

The anticipated decline in mortgage rates presents both opportunities and challenges for Raleigh’s real estate market. Increased affordability is great news for buyers, but the competition that comes with it might just keep you on your toes. Sellers, on the other hand, could find themselves in a prime position to make the most of a bustling market...but...where do you go if you sell? See, opportunities also come with challenges. 

If you’re considering buying or selling a home in Raleigh, don’t sit on the fence! That is the worst place to be. Reach out today to discuss how these potential mortgage rate changes could impact your real estate goals. Whether you’re navigating the competitive buying landscape or looking to capitalize on increased demand as a seller, we’re here to make sure you come out on top.

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